blog

European businesses are rethinking their plans for a 'closed' China

Foreign direct investment from Germany to China grew by about 30% in the first eight months of the year from a year ago, China's Ministry of Commerce said Monday.
Vcg | Visual China Group | Getty Images

BEIJING — European businesses in China are revaluating their market plans after this year's Covid controls further isolated the country from the rest of the world, said Joerg Wuttke, president of the European Union Chamber of Commerce in China.

China's stringent Covid policy has restricted international travel, and business activity — especially after a two-month lockdown this year in Shanghai.

The tough measures of the last two years initially helped China recover more quickly from the pandemic's shock compared to other countries.

But the policy increasingly contrasts with a world that's increasingly relaxing many Covid restrictions.

For European businesses, "we talk about a complete readjustment of our view on China over the last six months," Wuttke told reporters at a briefing for the chamber';s annual China position paper, released Wednesday.

He said the lockdowns and uncertainty for businesses have turned China into a "closed" and "distinctively different" country that might prompt companies to leave.

So far, most companies haven't left — only some very small ones, Wuttke said. But he pointed out the chamber isn't able to survey businesses that decided not to enter China at all.

I've been here on and off 40 years and I've never seen anything like this, where all of a sudden ideological decision-making is more important than economic decision-making.
Joerg Wuttke
president, EU Chamber of Commerce in China

Foreign direct investment from the EU into China dropped by 11.8% in 2020 from a year earlier, according to the chamber';s position paper. More recent figures weren't available.

"While there are still 'a select group of high-profile multinational companies ready to make billion dollar splashes,' the trend of declining FDI is unlikely to reverse while European executives are heavily restricted from travelling to and from China to develop potential greenfield projects," the paper said.

Investors are still in a 'wait and see mode' when it comes to China, says analyst
VIDEO1:4401:44
Investors are still in a 'wait and see mode' when it comes to China: Analyst
Squawk Box Asia

China's economy grew by 2.5% in the first half of the year, well below the official target of around 5.5%. Beijing indicated in late July the country might not reach that target.

Meanwhile, authorities have showed little sign of removing the so-called dynamic zero-Covid policy.

China has reduced quarantine time for international and domestic travelers. But sporadic lockdowns, whether of the tourist island of Hainan or the city of Chengdu, has kept business uncertainty elevated.

Wuttke said he expects the earliest China could open its borders is late 2023, based on the time needed to vaccinate enough of the population.

'Ideology trumps the economy'

China's big market

Why China shows no sign of backing away from its 'zero-Covid' strategy
VIDEO9:5709:57
Why China shows no sign of backing away from its 'zero-Covid' strategy
International Digital Originals

Source: https://www.cnbc.com/2022/09/20/european-businesses-are-rethinking-their-plans-for-a-closed-china.html


Related Posts